Playoff Probabilities Report
Results are based on 10,000 simulations of the remainder of
season, including the play-in round.
See more details about the results. We also use these simulations to
project the draft order and lottery winners.
Projected Standings
First Round Seed | |||||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rk | Eastern Conference | W | L | W/L% | SOS | SRS | Current | Playoffs | Division | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | Win 1st Rd | Win Semi | Win Conf | Win Finals |
1 | Boston Celtics | 64.0 | 18.0 | .780 | -0.60 | 10.75 | 64-18 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 86.0% | 68.3% | |||||||
2 | New York Knicks | 50.0 | 32.0 | .610 | -0.23 | 4.36 | 50-32 | 100.0% | 100.0 | 100.0% | 79.5% | 11.9% | 5.0% | ||||||||
3 | Milwaukee Bucks | 49.0 | 33.0 | .598 | -0.18 | 2.44 | 49-33 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | |||||||||
4 | Cleveland Cavaliers | 48.0 | 34.0 | .585 | -0.44 | 1.98 | 48-34 | 100.0% | 100.0 | 100.0% | 0.0% | ||||||||||
5 | Orlando Magic | 47.0 | 35.0 | .573 | -0.55 | 1.48 | 47-35 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | |||||||||
6 | Indiana Pacers | 47.0 | 35.0 | .573 | -0.30 | 2.75 | 47-35 | 100.0% | 100.0 | 100.0% | 20.5% | 2.1% | 0.7% | ||||||||
7 | Philadelphia 76ers | 47.0 | 35.0 | .573 | -0.54 | 2.51 | 47-35 | 100.0% | 100.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||||||
8 | Miami Heat | 46.0 | 36.0 | .561 | -0.66 | 1.10 | 46-36 | 100.0% | 100.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||||||
9 | Chicago Bulls | 39.0 | 43.0 | .476 | -0.33 | -1.77 | 39-43 | ||||||||||||||
10 | Atlanta Hawks | 36.0 | 46.0 | .439 | -0.19 | -2.38 | 36-46 | ||||||||||||||
11 | Brooklyn Nets | 32.0 | 50.0 | .390 | -0.13 | -3.02 | 32-50 | ||||||||||||||
12 | Toronto Raptors | 25.0 | 57.0 | .305 | -0.01 | -6.45 | 25-57 | ||||||||||||||
13 | Charlotte Hornets | 21.0 | 61.0 | .256 | 0.13 | -10.12 | 21-61 | ||||||||||||||
14 | Washington Wizards | 15.0 | 67.0 | .183 | 0.00 | -9.29 | 15-67 | ||||||||||||||
15 | Detroit Pistons | 14.0 | 68.0 | .171 | 0.05 | -9.06 | 14-68 |
First Round Seed | |||||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rk | Western Conference | W | L | W/L% | SOS | SRS | Current | Playoffs | Division | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | Win 1st Rd | Win Semi | Win Conf | Win Finals |
1 | Oklahoma City Thunder | 57.0 | 25.0 | .695 | -0.05 | 7.36 | 57-25 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0 | 100.0% | 41.4% | 25.6% | 8.6% | |||||||
2 | Denver Nuggets | 57.0 | 25.0 | .695 | -0.03 | 5.23 | 57-25 | 100.0% | 100.0 | 100.0% | 71.6% | 38.8% | 9.7% | ||||||||
3 | Minnesota Timberwolves | 56.0 | 26.0 | .683 | -0.07 | 6.39 | 56-26 | 100.0% | 100.0 | 100.0% | 28.4% | 17.1% | 5.0% | ||||||||
4 | Los Angeles Clippers | 51.0 | 31.0 | .622 | 0.13 | 3.41 | 51-31 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | |||||||||
5 | Dallas Mavericks | 50.0 | 32.0 | .610 | 0.09 | 2.30 | 50-32 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0 | 100.0% | 58.6% | 18.5% | 2.6% | |||||||
6 | Phoenix Suns | 49.0 | 33.0 | .598 | 0.02 | 3.08 | 49-33 | 100.0% | 100.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||||||
7 | Los Angeles Lakers | 47.0 | 35.0 | .573 | 0.48 | 1.07 | 47-35 | 100.0% | 100.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||||||
8 | New Orleans Pelicans | 49.0 | 33.0 | .598 | 0.05 | 4.46 | 49-33 | 100.0% | 100.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||||||
9 | Sacramento Kings | 46.0 | 36.0 | .561 | 0.55 | 2.29 | 46-36 | ||||||||||||||
10 | Golden State Warriors | 46.0 | 36.0 | .561 | 0.16 | 2.77 | 46-36 | ||||||||||||||
11 | Houston Rockets | 41.0 | 41.0 | .500 | 0.12 | 1.24 | 41-41 | ||||||||||||||
12 | Utah Jazz | 31.0 | 51.0 | .378 | 0.68 | -4.22 | 31-51 | ||||||||||||||
13 | Memphis Grizzlies | 27.0 | 55.0 | .329 | 0.43 | -6.57 | 27-55 | ||||||||||||||
14 | San Antonio Spurs | 22.0 | 60.0 | .268 | 0.69 | -5.80 | 22-60 | ||||||||||||||
15 | Portland Trail Blazers | 21.0 | 61.0 | .256 | 0.74 | -8.29 | 21-61 |
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